Amy Myers Jaffe

Views from the University of California at Davis' Amy Myers Jaffe.

Betting on China for High Oil Prices: Fact or Folly?

Oil prices remain at lofty levels based on two time-tested stories. Story One: Instability in the Middle East could lead to violence that will produce a major oil supply disruption; and Story Two: China’s amazing growth patterns will create so much oil demand that it will overwhelm any level of additions of new supply. While […]  More »

Commentary: Green Energy Policy Matters in Selling EVs

When it comes to green energy choices, a more comprehensive approach can prove more successful, according to a new study by UC Davis and Simon Fraser University. The study by Kenneth Kurani and Jonn Axsen shows that consumers are more likely to buy plug-in electric vehicles if they know that the electricity that will power […]  More »
(AP Photo/Keith Srakocic)

Commentary: Happy 4th of July: A salute to shale…New study shows that without fireworks, a 1980s deja vu could be inevitable

Signs are on the horizon that oil prices could take a tumble, should war drums stop beating in the Middle East. High oil prices, no matter how permanent they might seem, eventually stimulate downward structural changes in oil demand.  More »
(Image: Fotolia)

Commentary: Cybersecurity breaches could threaten more accidents in US oil industry

As Edward Snowden starts to fade from the headlines, it is important not to lose sight of the importance that the National Security Agency (NSA) and other US agencies of get cyber security protection of critical infrastructure on the right path. So far, news reports have focused on the civil liberties angle to the story, […]  More »

Is Shale Revolution Helping With Climate Goals

This post was written by Rosa Dominquez-Faus, post-doctorial researcher at the Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis. Author Michael Levi in his new book Power Surge argues that renewable energy and the shale revolution are complementary rather than competing energy strategies for the United States. Indeed, analysis shows that CO2 emissions from the power sector […]  More »

The Bigger Meaning of the Syrian Crisis

For decades, academic scholars and regional political commentators have written about the “Arab order” which loosely referred to the trend line in the political economy of the Middle East. The musings about the new Arab order gained prominence with independence movements in the early twentieth century and remain in today’s discourse. The promise of past […]  More »
The sun sets on a drilling rig in Frio County, Texas.  (Jerry Lara/San Antonio Express-News)

Commentary: US NGLs to crowd OPEC Asian exports

Middle Eastern countries are starting to feel the pinch of the U.S. shale revolution. Even Saudi Arabia will find new competition for its liquefied petroleum gas and other feedstock exports, as the United States hikes its exports of natural gas liquids.  More »

Twitter, Millennials and Accountability in the Gulf and Beyond

The ins and outs of futball staffing in the oil-rich Gulf would seem at first glance to be a subject too esoteric to watch from the oil industry but writer James Dorsey’s recent comments on the fan-driven removal of royal family member Prince Nawaf Bin Feisal, former head of the Saudi Football Federation, are worth […]  More »

Foreign Policy Considerations Should Be Central To U.S. Oil And Gas Export Discussion

Foreign policy considerations should be central to the discussion of U.S. oil and natural gas export policy. Barriers to energy trade and investment between major oil and gas rich regions and consuming countries can harm the global economy, leave the U.S. and its allies subject to energy blackmail, and create artificial shortages of vital energy […]  More »

Lessons from the Boston Marathon Attack: Rule of Law is No Conspiracy

As the media swirls with speculation about the motivations of alleged Boston Marathon Bomber Tamerlan Tsarnaev, I am struck by how much the discussion misses a relevant ponit for those striving for political reform in the Middle East. The more important lesson of the Boston Marathon attack and subsequent operation to capture the alleged bombers […]  More »

Don’t Like How Big Oil Invests? Blame Wall Street

Wall Street is unhappy with the performance of ExxonMobil’s share price. In the race of Big Oil share prices, Chevron is clearly winning. The discussion of relative share price performance is recently focusing on two things that distinguish the two oil giants. Unlike ExxonMobil, Chevron opted to stay out of Iraq and hasn’t yet purchased […]  More »

Jaffe: OPEC starts to react to US shale boom with new strategy

The first signs are emerging that key Persian Gulf members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) are adjusting their strategies to cope with the growing threat that North American shale oil is making to their long-term dominance in global energy markets.  More »

US Oil and Gas Exports and National Power

Earlier this month, the US Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources held a hearing on US natural gas exports. Republicans championing exports say LNG exports will create jobs and raise revenue for the federal government. Democrats worry that exports will undercut the resurgence in US manufacturing. Senator Ron Wyden (D-Ore) led the charge arguing […]  More »
In 2007, former Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, who died in 2013, nationalized oil assets in the Orrinco heavy crude belt. ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips quit the country and filed arbitration claims. (AP Photo/Fernando Llano)

Commentary: Is Venezuela turmoil good for oil sector?

Chávez extracted high rents from oil companies, investment in the sector has fallen and production in the oil-rich Orinoco Belt has stagnated. A government shakeup could bring positive change.  More »

National Oceans Policy Is About Streamlining

This blog was written by Dr. Amber Mace,  Associate Director, Policy Institute for Energy, Environment & The Economy, University of California, Davis. Prior to joining UC Davis, Dr. Mace served as assistant secretary for coastal matters at the California Natural Resources Agency. Soon President Obama will release his final National Ocean Policy Implementation Plan. With […]  More »
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